UPDATED: 09-09-26 19:20 PDT

stick BYU
  
BYU                   
W-L: (28-27) PR = 94.7497

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 213 A Western Kentucky CUSA (28-27, 94.4) 3- 2 213 A Western Kentucky CUSA (28-27, 94.4) 2- 5 214 A Western Kentucky CUSA (28-27, 94.4) 2- 4 216 A Western Kentucky CUSA (28-27, 94.4) 12- 8 220 H UC San Diego BW (26-29, 94.4) 0- 8 221 A UC San Diego BW (26-29, 94.4) 9- 7 223 A UC Riverside BW (15-35, 89.6) 11- 3 225 A Long Beach State BW (21-31, 92.9) 7-10 226 A Washington State WC (13-18, 94.0) 6- 4 227 H Washington State WC (13-18, 94.0) 5- 4 228 A Long Beach State BW (21-31, 92.9) 6- 7 305 A Washington State WC (13-18, 94.0) 11-11 306 A Queens University AS (15-39, 89.8) 7- 2 307 H California Baptist WAC (23- 9, 96.5) 7-11 310 H Utah Tech WAC (12-10, 93.3) 19- 2 312 H Eastern Kentucky AS (17-34, 91.2) 5- 2 313 H Cincinnati B12 (38-21, 96.8) 7- 9 314 H Cincinnati B12 (38-21, 96.8) 10- 9 317 A Utah Tech WAC (12-10, 93.3) 18- 5 319 A West Virginia B12 (47-18, 98.1) 4- 7 320 A West Virginia B12 (47-18, 98.1) 10-12 321 H Arizona B12 (17-36, 93.8) 1-14 324 A Utah B12 (25-26, 94.8) 6- 5 326 H Oklahoma State B12 (39-22, 97.2) 6- 5 327 H Oklahoma State B12 (39-22, 97.2) 5-12 328 H Oklahoma State B12 (39-22, 97.2) 5- 4 331 H Kansas State B12 (30-27, 96.6) 3-16 402 A Baylor B12 (26-27, 94.7) 5-12 403 A Baylor B12 (26-27, 94.7) 10- 4 404 A Baylor B12 (26-27, 94.7) 1- 3 407 A Utah Valley WAC ( 7-15, 91.5) 10- 5 409 H Vanderbilt SEC (32-22, 97.1) 3-10 410 H Tulane AME (25-31, 94.4) 6- 4 411 A Houston B12 (23-28, 94.6) 6- 1 413 A Lamar SL (11-13, 93.3) 4- 0 416 H Arizona State B12 (38-21, 97.6) 19- 9 417 H Arizona State B12 (38-21, 97.6) 0-13 418 H Arizona State B12 (38-21, 97.6) 8-12 420 H Utah Tech WAC (12-10, 93.3) 4- 9 423 A Arizona B12 (17-36, 93.8) 0- 6 424 A Arizona B12 (17-36, 93.8) 5- 1 425 A Arizona B12 (17-36, 93.8) 8- 4 427 A Grand Canyon MW (11-16, 93.1) 3-10 430 H Utah B12 (25-26, 94.8) 6- 4 501 H Utah B12 (25-26, 94.8) 1- 8 502 H Utah B12 (25-26, 94.8) 3- 8 505 A UNLV MW ( 7- 9, 91.7) 5- 2 507 A Texas Tech B12 (31-24, 95.8) 1- 2 508 A Texas Tech B12 (31-24, 95.8) 12- 3 509 A Texas Tech B12 (31-24, 95.8) 11-15 512 H Utah Valley WAC ( 7-15, 91.5) 13- 3 514 A Georgia Tech ACC (48-12, 99.9) 6- 9 515 A Air Force MW ( 5-13, 94.9) 6- 9 516 H Kansas B12 (41-18, 97.1) 5- 4 519 H Texas Tech B12 (31-24, 95.8) 18- 8 520 A Baylor B12 (26-27, 94.7) 9-13

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   213 A Western Kentucky        3- 2       1     0           1.28
   213 A Western Kentucky        2- 5      -3     0    -     -2.72
   214 A Western Kentucky        2- 4      -2     0          -1.72
   216 A Western Kentucky       12- 8       4     0    ++     4.28
   220 H UC San Diego            0- 8      -8     1    ---   -9.01
   221 A UC San Diego            9- 7       2     0    +      2.34
   223 A UC Riverside           11- 3       8     4    +      3.53
   225 A Long Beach State        7-10      -3     1    --    -4.19
   226 A Washington State        6- 4       2     0           1.93
   227 H Washington State        5- 4       1     1          -0.42
   228 A Long Beach State        6- 7      -1     1    -     -2.19
   305 A Washington State       11-11       0     0          -0.07
   306 A Queens University       7- 2       5     4           0.70
   307 H California Baptist      7-11      -4    -1    -     -2.94
   310 H Utah Tech              19- 2      17     2    +++   11.83
   312 H Eastern Kentucky        5- 2       3     4          -1.21
   313 H Cincinnati              7- 9      -2    -1          -0.66
   314 H Cincinnati             10- 9       1    -1    +      2.34
   317 A Utah Tech              18- 5      13     1    +++   12.18
   319 A West Virginia           4- 7      -3    -4           1.08
   320 A West Virginia          10-12      -2    -4    +      2.08
   321 H Arizona                 1-14     -13     2    ---  -14.60
   324 A Utah                    6- 5       1    -1           1.73
   326 H Oklahoma State          6- 5       1    -2    +      2.82
   327 H Oklahoma State          5-12      -7    -2    --    -5.18
   328 H Oklahoma State          5- 4       1    -2    +      2.82
   331 H Kansas State            3-16     -13    -1    ---  -11.81
   402 A Baylor                  5-12      -7    -1    ---   -6.35
   403 A Baylor                 10- 4       6    -1    +++    6.65
   404 A Baylor                  1- 3      -2    -1          -1.35
   407 A Utah Valley            10- 5       5     3    +      2.38
   409 H Vanderbilt              3-10      -7    -2    --    -5.30
   410 H Tulane                  6- 4       2     1           0.98
   411 A Houston                 6- 1       5    -1    ++     5.52
   413 A Lamar                   4- 0       4     1    +      3.19
   416 H Arizona State          19- 9      10    -2    +++   12.22
   417 H Arizona State           0-13     -13    -2    ---  -10.78
   418 H Arizona State           8-12      -4    -2          -1.78
   420 H Utah Tech               4- 9      -5     2    ---   -7.17
   423 A Arizona                 0- 6      -6     0    ---   -6.25
   424 A Arizona                 5- 1       4     0    +      3.75
   425 A Arizona                 8- 4       4     0    +      3.75
   427 A Grand Canyon            3-10      -7     1    ---   -7.98
   430 H Utah                    6- 4       2     1           1.38
   501 H Utah                    1- 8      -7     1    ---   -7.62
   502 H Utah                    3- 8      -5     1    --    -5.62
   505 A UNLV                    5- 2       3     2           0.61
   507 A Texas Tech              1- 2      -1    -2           0.72
   508 A Texas Tech             12- 3       9    -2    +++   10.72
   509 A Texas Tech             11-15      -4    -2    -     -2.28
   512 H Utah Valley            13- 3      10     4    +++    6.03
   514 A Georgia Tech            6- 9      -3    -6    +      2.83
   515 A Air Force               6- 9      -3    -1    -     -2.18
   516 H Kansas                  5- 4       1    -2    +      2.71
   519 H Texas Tech             18- 8      10     0    +++   10.37
   520 A Baylor                  9-13      -4    -1    -     -3.35

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   220 H UC San Diego            0- 8      -8     1    ---   -9.01
   321 H Arizona                 1-14     -13     2    ---  -14.60
   331 H Kansas State            3-16     -13    -1    ---  -11.81
   402 A Baylor                  5-12      -7    -1    ---   -6.35
   417 H Arizona State           0-13     -13    -2    ---  -10.78
   420 H Utah Tech               4- 9      -5     2    ---   -7.17
   423 A Arizona                 0- 6      -6     0    ---   -6.25
   427 A Grand Canyon            3-10      -7     1    ---   -7.98
   501 H Utah                    1- 8      -7     1    ---   -7.62
   225 A Long Beach State        7-10      -3     1    --    -4.19
   327 H Oklahoma State          5-12      -7    -2    --    -5.18
   409 H Vanderbilt              3-10      -7    -2    --    -5.30
   502 H Utah                    3- 8      -5     1    --    -5.62
   213 A Western Kentucky        2- 5      -3     0    -     -2.72
   228 A Long Beach State        6- 7      -1     1    -     -2.19
   307 H California Baptist      7-11      -4    -1    -     -2.94
   509 A Texas Tech             11-15      -4    -2    -     -2.28
   515 A Air Force               6- 9      -3    -1    -     -2.18
   520 A Baylor                  9-13      -4    -1    -     -3.35

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   310 H Utah Tech              19- 2      17     2    +++   11.83
   317 A Utah Tech              18- 5      13     1    +++   12.18
   403 A Baylor                 10- 4       6    -1    +++    6.65
   416 H Arizona State          19- 9      10    -2    +++   12.22
   508 A Texas Tech             12- 3       9    -2    +++   10.72
   512 H Utah Valley            13- 3      10     4    +++    6.03
   519 H Texas Tech             18- 8      10     0    +++   10.37
   216 A Western Kentucky       12- 8       4     0    ++     4.28
   411 A Houston                 6- 1       5    -1    ++     5.52
   221 A UC San Diego            9- 7       2     0    +      2.34
   223 A UC Riverside           11- 3       8     4    +      3.53
   314 H Cincinnati             10- 9       1    -1    +      2.34
   320 A West Virginia          10-12      -2    -4    +      2.08
   326 H Oklahoma State          6- 5       1    -2    +      2.82
   328 H Oklahoma State          5- 4       1    -2    +      2.82
   407 A Utah Valley            10- 5       5     3    +      2.38
   413 A Lamar                   4- 0       4     1    +      3.19
   424 A Arizona                 5- 1       4     0    +      3.75
   425 A Arizona                 8- 4       4     0    +      3.75
   514 A Georgia Tech            6- 9      -3    -6    +      2.83
   516 H Kansas                  5- 4       1    -2    +      2.71

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   3 A Western Kentuc  (28-27, 94.4)     3- 2       -5.55      12.88       0.68         0.52            14.00
   3 A Western Kentuc  (28-27, 94.4)     2- 5       -5.55      12.88       0.68         0.52            -1.26
   3 A Western Kentuc  (28-27, 94.4)     2- 4       -5.55      12.88       0.68         0.52            -1.26
   3 A Western Kentuc  (28-27, 94.4)    12- 8       -5.55      12.88       0.68         0.52            14.00
   3 H UC San Diego    (26-29, 94.4)     0- 8       -5.48      12.94      -0.68         0.52            -1.59
   3 A UC San Diego    (26-29, 94.4)     9- 7       -5.48      12.94       0.68         0.52            14.07
   3 A UC Riverside    (15-35, 89.6)    11- 3      -10.30       8.13       0.68         0.52             9.09
   3 A Long Beach Sta  (21-31, 92.9)     7-10       -7.02      11.41       0.68         0.52            -1.64
   3 A Washington Sta  (13-18, 94.0)     6- 4       -5.89      12.53       0.68         0.52            13.65
   3 H Washington Sta  (13-18, 94.0)     5- 4       -5.89      12.53      -0.68         0.52            12.25
   3 A Long Beach Sta  (21-31, 92.9)     6- 7       -7.02      11.41       0.68         0.52            -1.64
   3 A Washington Sta  (13-18, 94.0)    11-11       -5.89      12.53       0.68         0.52             0.00
   3 A Queens Univers  (15-39, 89.8)     7- 2      -10.12       8.30       0.68         0.52             9.28
   3 H California Bap  (23- 9, 96.5)     7-11       -3.42      15.01      -0.68         0.52            -1.06
   3 H Utah Tech       (12-10, 93.3)    19- 2       -6.65      11.78      -0.68         0.52            11.47
   3 H Eastern Kentuc  (17-34, 91.2)     5- 2       -8.69       9.74      -0.68         0.52             9.36
   3 H Cincinnati      (38-21, 96.8)     7- 9       -3.13      15.29      -0.68         0.52            -0.98
   3 H Cincinnati      (38-21, 96.8)    10- 9       -3.13      15.29      -0.68         0.52            15.10
   3 A Utah Tech       (12-10, 93.3)    18- 5       -6.65      11.78       0.68         0.52            12.87
   3 A West Virginia   (47-18, 98.1)     4- 7       -1.75      16.68       0.68         0.52            -0.28
   3 A West Virginia   (47-18, 98.1)    10-12       -1.75      16.68       0.68         0.52            -0.28
   3 H Arizona         (17-36, 93.8)     1-14       -6.08      12.35      -0.68         0.52            -1.74
   3 A Utah            (25-26, 94.8)     6- 5       -5.09      13.33       0.68         0.52            14.47
   3 H Oklahoma State  (39-22, 97.2)     6- 5       -2.66      15.77      -0.68         0.52            15.59
   3 H Oklahoma State  (39-22, 97.2)     5-12       -2.66      15.77      -0.68         0.52            -0.86
   3 H Oklahoma State  (39-22, 97.2)     5- 4       -2.66      15.77      -0.68         0.52            15.59
   3 H Kansas State    (30-27, 96.6)     3-16       -3.28      15.14      -0.68         0.52            -1.02
   3 A Baylor          (26-27, 94.7)     5-12       -5.18      13.25       0.68         0.52            -1.16
   3 A Baylor          (26-27, 94.7)    10- 4       -5.18      13.25       0.68         0.52            14.38
   3 A Baylor          (26-27, 94.7)     1- 3       -5.18      13.25       0.68         0.52            -1.16
   3 A Utah Valley     ( 7-15, 91.5)    10- 5       -8.45       9.98       0.68         0.52            11.01
   3 H Vanderbilt      (32-22, 97.1)     3-10       -2.78      15.65      -0.68         0.52            -0.89
   3 H Tulane          (25-31, 94.4)     6- 4       -5.49      12.93      -0.68         0.52            12.66
   3 A Houston         (23-28, 94.6)     6- 1       -5.30      13.12       0.68         0.52            14.25
   3 A Lamar           (11-13, 93.3)     4- 0       -6.64      11.79       0.68         0.52            12.88
   3 H Arizona State   (38-21, 97.6)    19- 9       -2.26      16.17      -0.68         0.52            16.00
   3 H Arizona State   (38-21, 97.6)     0-13       -2.26      16.17      -0.68         0.52            -0.76
   3 H Arizona State   (38-21, 97.6)     8-12       -2.26      16.17      -0.68         0.52            -0.76
   3 H Utah Tech       (12-10, 93.3)     4- 9       -6.65      11.78      -0.68         0.52            -1.89
   3 A Arizona         (17-36, 93.8)     0- 6       -6.08      12.35       0.68         0.52            -1.39
   3 A Arizona         (17-36, 93.8)     5- 1       -6.08      12.35       0.68         0.52            13.45
   3 A Arizona         (17-36, 93.8)     8- 4       -6.08      12.35       0.68         0.52            13.45
   3 A Grand Canyon    (11-16, 93.1)     3-10       -6.81      11.62       0.68         0.52            -1.58
   3 H Utah            (25-26, 94.8)     6- 4       -5.09      13.33      -0.68         0.52            13.07
   3 H Utah            (25-26, 94.8)     1- 8       -5.09      13.33      -0.68         0.52            -1.49
   3 H Utah            (25-26, 94.8)     3- 8       -5.09      13.33      -0.68         0.52            -1.49
   3 A UNLV            ( 7- 9, 91.7)     5- 2       -8.21      10.21       0.68         0.52            11.25
   3 A Texas Tech      (31-24, 95.8)     1- 2       -4.11      14.32       0.68         0.52            -0.89
   3 A Texas Tech      (31-24, 95.8)    12- 3       -4.11      14.32       0.68         0.52            15.49
   3 A Texas Tech      (31-24, 95.8)    11-15       -4.11      14.32       0.68         0.52            -0.89
   3 H Utah Valley     ( 7-15, 91.5)    13- 3       -8.45       9.98      -0.68         0.52             9.61
   3 A Georgia Tech    (48-12, 99.9)     6- 9       -0.00      18.43       0.68         0.52            -0.17
   3 A Air Force       ( 5-13, 94.9)     6- 9       -5.00      13.42       0.68         0.52            -1.12
   3 H Kansas          (41-18, 97.1)     5- 4       -2.76      15.66      -0.68         0.52            15.48
   3 H Texas Tech      (31-24, 95.8)    18- 8       -4.11      14.32      -0.68         0.52            14.09
   3 A Baylor          (26-27, 94.7)     9-13       -5.18      13.25       0.68         0.52            -1.16
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       337.45

winning pts = 367.8596 losing points = -30.4094

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------